The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor seeking growth with a moderate to high risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon. It is designed for individuals comfortable with market fluctuations and who believe in the continued growth of large U.S. companies. The investor should be willing to accept periods of high volatility and significant drawdowns, relying on the historical resilience and growth potential of the U.S. stock market for eventual recovery and gains.
This portfolio is entirely allocated to the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, reflecting a singular focus on U.S. large-cap equities. Such concentration in one asset class and geographic region, while simplifying the investment strategy, significantly limits diversification. This approach aligns with a growth profile but carries the inherent risks of market fluctuations impacting the entire portfolio. The absence of international and alternative asset classes exposes the portfolio to systemic risks associated with the U.S. market.
Historically, this portfolio has shown a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.36%, with a maximum drawdown of -33.99%. These figures suggest robust growth but also highlight periods of significant value decline. The days contributing to 90% of returns being limited to 31 indicates that a few high-performing days largely drive the portfolio's performance. This volatility underscores the importance of a long-term investment horizon to weather market downturns and capitalize on the growth potential of U.S. equities.
Monte Carlo simulations, projecting future performance based on historical data, indicate a wide range of outcomes with a median increase of 505.2% in portfolio value. While 994 out of 1,000 simulations resulted in positive returns, this method relies on past trends, which may not predict future movements accurately. Such projections are useful for understanding potential volatility and assessing risk tolerance but should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.
The portfolio's exclusive investment in stocks, specifically within the S&P 500, provides exposure to the top U.S. companies across various sectors. However, the absence of other asset classes such as bonds, real estate, or international equities limits the portfolio's ability to mitigate risk through diversification. Incorporating different asset classes could reduce volatility and provide more stable returns over time, especially in fluctuating markets.
The sector allocation heavily favors technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, which have historically driven the S&P 500's growth. While this sector concentration may capitalize on growth trends, it also increases susceptibility to sector-specific downturns. Diversifying across a broader range of sectors or including sectors with defensive characteristics could provide a buffer during market corrections.
With 99% of assets in North America, the portfolio's geographic exposure is highly concentrated. This focus on the U.S. market has likely contributed to its historical performance but also ties the portfolio's fortunes closely to the economic and political climate of a single region. Expanding geographic diversification could reduce risk and tap into growth opportunities in developed and emerging markets outside the U.S.
The portfolio's emphasis on mega and big-cap stocks is consistent with its investment in the S&P 500 ETF, providing stability and reducing volatility compared to portfolios with higher allocations to medium and small-cap stocks. This composition leverages the growth potential and resilience of large companies but may miss out on the higher growth rates sometimes offered by smaller companies.
The dividend yield of 1.20% contributes to the portfolio's total return, providing a steady income stream in addition to potential capital gains. While not the primary focus of a growth-oriented portfolio, dividends offer a form of return that can be particularly valuable during periods of market stagnation or decline.
The low total expense ratio (TER) of 0.03% is a significant advantage, ensuring that investment costs do not erode returns significantly. This efficiency is crucial for long-term growth, as even small differences in costs can have a substantial impact on net returns over time.
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