The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a growth-oriented profile, comfortable with higher levels of risk for the potential of substantial returns. It's tailored for those with a longer investment horizon, allowing time to recover from market volatility. The emphasis on technology and large-cap stocks aligns with an investor seeking to capitalize on established, high-growth sectors. This approach is best suited for individuals who are less concerned with short-term fluctuations and more focused on achieving significant growth over time.
The portfolio is heavily weighted towards equities, with a 55% allocation in a broad U.S. stock market ETF, 20% in international stocks, 15% in a tech-focused ETF, and 10% in an S&P 500 momentum ETF. This composition reflects a clear growth orientation, leveraging the potential of the global stock market while maintaining a significant emphasis on technology and momentum within the U.S. market. The predominance of ETFs suggests a preference for diversified, low-cost investment vehicles, aligning with best practices for long-term growth strategies.
Historically, the portfolio has shown a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 17.26%, with a maximum drawdown of -32.96%. These figures indicate a strong performance, albeit with significant volatility, as evidenced by the steep drawdown. The days contributing most to returns are relatively few, highlighting the impact of short-term gains on overall performance. This performance should be balanced against the risk profile and investment horizon, considering the potential for similar volatility in the future.
Monte Carlo simulations project a wide range of outcomes, with a median increase of 952.5% in portfolio value. This suggests a high potential for growth, underscored by the fact that nearly all simulations result in positive returns. However, it's crucial to remember that such projections are based on historical data and assumptions that may not fully account for future market conditions. Investors should view these results as one of many tools in decision-making, not as guarantees.
The portfolio's asset allocation is almost entirely in stocks (99%), with a minimal cash reserve (1%). This allocation supports the portfolio's growth objectives but also exposes it to market volatility. Diversification across different asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, could provide a buffer against stock market downturns, potentially smoothing out returns over time.
With technology (30%) and financial services (14%) as the leading sectors, the portfolio is positioned to capitalize on growth trends but may also face higher volatility, especially in tech. The broad sectoral coverage, including consumer cyclicals and industrials, suggests an attempt at diversification within the equity component. However, the heavy tech weighting could amplify risk during market corrections or sector-specific downturns.
The geographic allocation is heavily North American-centric (81%), with modest exposure to developed Europe (8%) and emerging Asian markets (3%). This distribution leverages the stability and growth potential of the U.S. market but may underutilize opportunities in emerging markets and other developed regions. Expanding international exposure could enhance diversification and potentially tap into higher growth rates abroad.
The focus on mega (45%) and big-cap (31%) stocks underscores the portfolio's preference for established, large-scale companies, likely contributing to its historical growth. While this bias towards larger companies may reduce exposure to the volatility of smaller firms, it also limits potential high-growth opportunities in the small and micro-cap sectors, which could offer diversification benefits and outsized returns over the long term.
The dividend yields across the ETFs contribute to the portfolio's total yield of 1.36%, adding a component of income to the growth-focused strategy. While the yields vary, the overall income generation complements capital appreciation, providing a dual return mechanism. For investors seeking both growth and income, maintaining or slightly increasing exposure to higher-yielding assets could be beneficial.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) of 0.07% is impressively low, maximizing the potential for net returns. This efficiency is crucial for long-term growth, as even small differences in costs can significantly impact compounded returns. The choice of low-cost ETFs reflects a strategic approach to cost management, aligning with best practices for portfolio construction.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Considering the Efficient Frontier, the current portfolio may not be fully optimized for the best risk-return ratio. While the growth orientation and sectoral choices align with the investor's objectives, there's potential to enhance diversification and reduce volatility without significantly compromising returns. Adjusting allocations among existing assets or introducing new, less correlated investments could move the portfolio closer to the Efficient Frontier, optimizing its performance.
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