The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Growth Investors
This portfolio suits an investor seeking balanced growth with a moderate to high risk tolerance and a long-term investment horizon. It prioritizes capital appreciation through a diversified mix of US and international equities, making it ideal for individuals looking to build wealth over time while being comfortable with the fluctuations inherent in stock markets.
The portfolio's composition is strategically divided among four ETFs, emphasizing a growth profile with a significant tilt towards the US market. The Invesco RAFI Strategic US ETF forms the core at 40%, followed by the Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF at 30%, showcasing a balance between domestic and international equities. The American Century U.S. Quality Growth ETF and Avantis® International Small Cap Value ETF complement this mix, adding layers of quality growth and value perspectives, respectively. This allocation strategy underscores a deliberate approach to capturing growth across different geographies and market segments.
With a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.44% and a maximum drawdown of -32.02%, the portfolio demonstrates robust growth potential tempered by significant volatility. The days contributing to 90% of returns being concentrated in just 21.0 days highlight the portfolio's reliance on short-term, significant gains. This historical performance, while impressive, underscores the inherent risks and the need for investors to have a tolerance for occasional sharp downturns in pursuit of long-term growth.
Monte Carlo simulations, which project future performance based on historical data, show a wide range of outcomes, with the median simulation suggesting a 568.4% return. However, it's crucial to note that while these simulations can provide insight, they're based on past performance, which is not a reliable indicator of future results. The high percentage of simulations with positive returns (992 out of 1,000) does suggest a strong likelihood of future gains, but investors should remain mindful of the inherent uncertainties in market movements.
The portfolio is entirely allocated to stocks, indicating a high-growth, high-risk strategy. This focus on equities is appropriate for a growth-oriented portfolio but lacks the risk mitigation benefits that bonds or other asset classes might provide. While this aligns with the portfolio's growth profile, investors should consider whether incorporating other asset classes could offer beneficial diversification and risk management.
The sectoral allocation is well-diversified, covering technology, financial services, industrials, healthcare, and consumer cyclicals as the top sectors. This diversification across sectors can help mitigate sector-specific risks and capitalize on growth opportunities in different areas of the economy. However, the technology sector's prominence does introduce a degree of volatility that investors should be aware of, particularly in market downturns.
Geographic allocation is heavily weighted towards North America at 61%, with significant exposures to Europe Developed and Japan. This distribution reflects a balance between the stability of developed markets and the growth potential of international diversification. However, the absence of emerging markets may limit exposure to high-growth regions, potentially impacting the portfolio's overall growth trajectory.
The market capitalization breakdown shows a balanced exposure across mega, big, and medium-cap stocks, with a smaller allocation to small and micro-caps. This blend suggests a moderate risk profile, balancing the stability of large-cap companies with the growth potential of smaller firms. However, the portfolio might benefit from a slight adjustment to include more small and micro-cap exposure, enhancing its growth potential.
The portfolio's average dividend yield of 2.08% contributes to its total return, blending growth and income. The varying yields across the ETFs—from the higher dividends of the Avantis® International Small Cap Value ETF and Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF to the lower yield of the American Century U.S. Quality Growth ETF—indicate a strategic approach to income generation. While not the primary focus, dividends offer a secondary benefit of regular income, which can be particularly valuable during market volatility.
With an average portfolio cost (Total Expense Ratio, TER) of 0.20%, the portfolio is efficiently managed, ensuring that fees do not significantly erode returns. This low-cost approach is commendable, as it aligns with best practices for maximizing long-term investment growth. Investors should continue to monitor costs, as even small increases can have a substantial impact over time.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The Efficient Frontier analysis suggests that the current portfolio is near-optimal in terms of the risk-return trade-off. While there's always room for improvement, any adjustments should be made with careful consideration of how they might shift the portfolio along the frontier. Fine-tuning the allocation could potentially yield a better risk-adjusted return, but it's important to remember that such optimizations are based on historical data and assumptions about future performance.
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