The risk profile, derived from past market volatility, reflects the level of risk the portfolio is exposed to. This assessment helps align your investments with your financial goals and comfort with market fluctuations.
The diversification assessment evaluates the spread of investments across asset classes, regions, and sectors. This ensures a balanced mix, reducing risk and maximizing returns by not concentrating in any single area.
Cautious Investors
This portfolio suits an investor with a cautious risk tolerance, seeking a balance between growth and stability. The investor likely has a medium to long-term horizon, valuing global diversification across sectors and geographies to mitigate risk while pursuing moderate growth. This strategy aligns with individuals who are not looking for aggressive returns but rather steady growth with reduced volatility.
This portfolio comprises four ETFs, each targeting different geographic and sectoral exposures, with a 95% allocation in stocks and a small 5% in bonds. The SPDR® MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF and the Vanguard LifeStrategy 80% Equity UCITS ETF form the core, emphasizing European small-cap and diversified global equities. The inclusion of the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF adds significant exposure to emerging markets, while the iShares Edge MSCI World Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF aims to reduce portfolio volatility. This composition suggests a strategic approach to achieving diversification across various dimensions, including geography, market capitalization, and volatility levels.
Historically, the portfolio has delivered a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.52%, with a maximum drawdown of -16.09%. The performance is notable for a cautious risk profile, demonstrating resilience during market fluctuations. The days contributing to 90% of returns signify that a few key periods significantly impact overall performance. Comparing these metrics to benchmarks can provide insight into the portfolio's risk-adjusted returns, suggesting that the strategy has balanced growth objectives with risk management effectively.
Monte Carlo simulations, which use historical data to forecast a range of possible outcomes, show a median increase of 174% in portfolio value, with a 95% likelihood of positive returns. This forward-looking analysis underscores the portfolio's potential for growth while acknowledging the inherent uncertainty in market movements. It's important to remember, however, that these projections are hypothetical and should be viewed as one of many tools in making informed investment decisions.
The asset allocation leans heavily towards stocks (95%), with a minimal bond presence (5%), reflecting a strategy that seeks growth while maintaining a cautious risk profile. This balance is typical for investors who are willing to accept some volatility for higher potential returns but still prefer a measure of stability through bond inclusion. Adjusting this mix could further align the portfolio with the investor's risk tolerance and return expectations.
Sector allocation is broad, with significant investments in financial services, technology, and industrials, followed by consumer cyclicals and communication services. This sector spread indicates a well-considered approach to capturing growth across diverse economic activities, though the concentration in tech and finance sectors could introduce volatility. Balancing sector exposures can mitigate sector-specific risks and capitalize on growth opportunities elsewhere.
Geographic distribution is well-diversified, with a strong emphasis on developed Europe and North America, complemented by meaningful exposure to emerging markets in Asia. This global footprint enhances the portfolio's potential to benefit from growth in different regions while cushioning against localized economic downturns. However, the absence of investments in Europe Emerging and Australasia could be a missed opportunity for further diversification.
The portfolio's market capitalization breakdown—medium, mega, big, small, and micro—demonstrates a strategic approach to diversification across different company sizes. This mix can help balance the growth potential of smaller companies with the stability of larger firms, although the current allocation may lean more towards larger companies, potentially limiting exposure to high-growth small-cap opportunities.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) of 0.27% is relatively low, which is favorable for long-term growth as lower costs translate directly into higher net returns. Keeping costs in check is vital for enhancing investment efficiency, especially in a diversified portfolio where expenses can quickly add up across multiple holdings.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The portfolio's current expected return is slightly below the optimal level identified by Efficient Frontier analysis, suggesting room for improvement in achieving the best possible risk-return ratio. By adjusting asset allocations within the existing portfolio, it may be possible to enhance returns without increasing risk significantly. This optimization process is an ongoing task that requires periodic review as market conditions evolve.
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